Expected Service Lifespan
Imagine you encounter a random production service. Knowing information beyond how long this service has been in production, how long should you expect that production service to last into the future, given only how long that service has been in production? The Lindy effect suggests that the expected lifespan of a random production service is proportional to its current lifespan. If a service has been in production for ten years, we might expect (a priori) for that service’s expected remaining lifespan to be ten years....